· 3 min read
On Manifold, a binary market can end without Yes or No
An audit of 500 recent play-money resolutions found 25 cancellations and eight probability-based outcomes. A Yes/No-only dataset leaves them out.
Read the postThe stories behind
the contracts.
Short, sourced reporting on prediction markets and the events that test their rules.
· 2 min read
Kalshi reverses payouts after Michigan’s last-play win
Michigan’s dramatic 13–12 win left Kalshi reversing an early settlement, with some customers reporting payout delays.
Read the postReporting follows our editorial standards. Customer reports are attributed and distinguished from independently confirmed facts.