Start here

Start with these guides

FundamentalsWhat is a prediction contract?FundamentalsDoes 65¢ really mean a 65% chance?Market mechanicsRead the rules before the headlineMarket mechanicsThe price you see is not always the price you getMarket mechanicsCalculate the return, not just the payoutRisk & rulesThe risks a probability chart leaves out

The stories behind
the contracts.

Short, sourced reporting on prediction markets and the events that test their rules.

Reporting follows our editorial standards. Customer reports are attributed and distinguished from independently confirmed facts.